9
Sanctify
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 98
Ellis Park · Race 9 - Sunkissed S. Presented By Sterling Industrial · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
73%
Place Prob
60%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Keeneland | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-03 | Ellis Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-06 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2025 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 9% | -0.07 |
| 11/05/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 11/06/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 14% | -0.46 |
| 06/07/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 03/08/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/04/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 08/05/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 12/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |