5
Vive Veuve
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 110
Ellis Park · Race 9 - Sunkissed S. Presented By Sterling Industrial · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-27 | Churchill Downs | BHA106 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Keeneland | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-04 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-07 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-21 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength27%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 18/04/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |
| 26/05/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 89% | -0.05 |
| 21/06/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 07/08/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 04/09/2025 | 6th | 5/4 | 93% | 17% | -0.77 |
| 19/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 27/11/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |