8
Wind Flower
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 96
Ellis Park · Race 9 - Sunkissed S. Presented By Sterling Industrial · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Keeneland | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-05-03 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-02-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-12-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength63%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/2024 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 08/11/2024 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 22/12/2024 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 09/02/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 03/05/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 21/02/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 10/04/2026 | 11th | 7/1 | 63% | 9% | -0.54 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |