7
Holly Green
9yo Mare · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De La Porte Doree - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#7
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-30 | Le Mont-Saint-Michel | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Caen | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Graignes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Vincennes | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02/2026 | 1st | 66/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 20/02/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 05/03/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 26/03/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 85% | +0.19 |
| 03/04/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 28/04/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 31% | -0.30 |
| 09/05/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 04/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 58% | +0.21 |
| 30/06/2026 | 13th | 11/1 | 42% | 14% | -0.28 |