4

Noblesse Jisce

3yo Filly · 0-0

Enghien · Prix Du Ballon D'alsace - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#8

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength7%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Enghien 10/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 010/03C?5 @ Reims 19/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 019/035C0 @ La Capelle 03/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 03/05C?3 @ Vincennes 22/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 022/053C0 @ Vincennes 02/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 02/06C?C0 @ Enghien 01/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 01/07C?3 @ Enghien 18/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 018/073projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Enghien38th8th0
2026-07-01Enghien?4th4th0
2026-06-02Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2026-05-22Vincennes35th5th0
2026-05-03La Capelle?2nd2nd0
2026-03-19Reims52nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0322/0518/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength38%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/03/20269th50/10%20%+0.20
19/03/20262nd22/10%88%+0.88
03/05/20262nd12/137%88%+0.51
22/05/20265th18/15%33%+0.28
02/06/20263rd25/10%78%+0.78
01/07/20264th12/137%57%+0.20
18/07/20268th28/10%36%+0.36