8

Noumea Coconut

3yo Filly · 0-0

Enghien · Prix Du Ballon D'alsace - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#1

Rank

Odds

17/2

Win Prob

55%

Place Prob

50%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 2.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 31/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 031/0165 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 20/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 020/025C0 @ Marseille-borely 25/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 025/03C?3 @ Enghien 18/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 018/043C0 @ Enghien 01/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 01/07C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-01Enghien?3rd3rd0
2026-05-22Vincennes30
2026-04-18Enghien32nd2nd0
2026-04-07Vincennes?0
2026-03-25Marseille-borely?4th4th0
2026-03-03Cagnes-sur-Mer?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0120/0225/0318/041/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength89%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/01/20263rd11/893%71%-0.21
20/02/20261st5/493%100%+0.07
25/03/20264th5/287%67%-0.20
18/04/20262nd17/255%89%+0.34
01/07/20263rd17/255%71%+0.16