8

Noumea Coconut
3yo Filly · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Du Ballon D'alsace - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#1
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
55%
Place Prob
50%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Vincennes | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-18 | Enghien | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-25 | Marseille-borely | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength89%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 71% | -0.21 |
| 20/02/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 25/03/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 89% | +0.34 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 71% | +0.16 |