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Nova Du Fer

3yo Filly · 0-0

Enghien · Prix Du Ballon D'alsace - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#6

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength13%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 07/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 07/03C?5 @ La Capelle 19/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 019/065C0 @ La Capelle 07/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 07/07C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26Enghien?0
2026-07-07La Capelle?2nd2nd0
2026-06-19La Capelle52nd2nd0
2026-05-21Le Mans50
2026-05-08La Capelle50
2026-03-30Le Croise-Laroche?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0319/067/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength70%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/03/20266th13/266%29%-0.37
19/06/20262nd16/116%93%+0.77
07/07/20262nd9/276%91%+0.15