1

Mercedes Du Loisir
4yo Filly · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De Morangis - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#9
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Feurs | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Vichy | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Vichy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-08 | Feurs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-02 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength42%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 28/01/2025 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 11/04/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 02/09/2025 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 08/09/2025 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 11/05/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 58% | +0.16 |
| 03/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |