1

Mercedes Du Loisir

4yo Filly · 0-0

Enghien · Prix De Morangis - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#9

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 07/01/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 07/01C?C0 @ Vincennes 28/01/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 0C0 @ Toulouse 11/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f122y Std 011/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 02/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Feurs 08/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 08/09C?C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 26/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 11/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 011/05C?5 @ Vichy 13/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 05 @ Feurs 03/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 03/075projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-03Feurs58th8th0
2026-06-13Vichy56th6th0
2026-05-11Vichy?6th6th0
2026-04-26Lyon-Parilly?5th5th0
2025-09-08Feurs?5th5th0
2025-09-02Vincennes?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/012/0911/053/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength42%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/01/20254th33/10%73%+0.73
28/01/202511th28/10%17%+0.17
11/04/20254th40/10%67%+0.67
02/09/202510th25/10%36%+0.36
08/09/20255th66/10%60%+0.60
26/04/20265th28/10%73%+0.73
11/05/20266th22/10%64%+0.64
13/06/20266th11/142%58%+0.16
03/07/20268th33/10%42%+0.42