5

Lisbeth

5yo Filly · 0-0

Enghien · Prix De Forges-les-eaux - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#3

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Marseille 10/02/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 010/02C?C0 @ Lyon La Soie 10/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 0C0 @ Divonne Les Bains 21/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 021/08C?C0 @ Marseille-borely 17/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 23/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 023/12C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 02/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 0C0 @ Marseille 18/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 018/01C?5 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 20/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 04 @ La Capelle 19/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 019/064projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-19La Capelle48th8th0
2026-03-13Marseille-borely40
2026-02-20Cagnes-sur-Mer51st1st0
2026-01-18Marseille?6th6th0
2026-01-02Cagnes-sur-Mer?3rd3rd0
2025-12-23Cagnes-sur-Mer?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0217/1018/0119/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength43%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/02/20254th3/184%73%-0.11
10/03/20252nd4/179%91%+0.12
21/08/20257th33/10%50%+0.50
17/10/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
23/12/20253rd9/153%85%+0.32
02/01/20263rd18/15%83%+0.78
18/01/20266th15/890%38%-0.53
20/02/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
19/06/20268th40/10%36%+0.36