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7

Lisbeth Dry

5yo Filly · 0-0

Enghien · Prix De Forges-les-eaux - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 27/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 027/06C?C0 @ Vincennes 04/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 05 @ Vincennes 29/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 029/015C0 @ Vincennes 11/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 05 @ Vincennes 27/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 027/025C0 @ Vincennes 13/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 04 @ Vincennes 12/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 012/0645 @ Enghien 25/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 025/075projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Enghien51st1st0
2026-06-12Vincennes48th8th0
2026-05-13Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2026-03-27Vincennes40
2026-03-10Enghien?0
2026-02-27Vincennes53rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0611/0212/0625/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/06/20255th66/10%73%+0.73
04/12/20258th9/276%53%-0.23
29/01/20268th10/147%53%+0.06
11/02/20262nd3/184%88%+0.03
27/02/20263rd4/179%86%+0.07
13/05/20263rd20/10%85%+0.85
12/06/20268th28/10%46%+0.46
25/07/20261st3/184%100%+0.16