8

Lubie De Celiniere

5yo Filly · 0-0

Enghien · Prix De Forges-les-eaux - Attele · 1m 2f 151y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

97%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength15%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 2.9)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Enghien 28/09/2024 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 028/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 30/10/2024 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Pornichet 14/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 014/08C?C0 @ Les Sables 22/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 0C0 @ Laval 15/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 015/09C?C0 @ Chatelaillon 29/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 0C0 @ Laval 29/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 029/04C?C0 @ Lisieux 15/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 015/07C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-15Lisieux?1st1st0
2026-04-29Laval?2nd2nd0
2026-04-16Enghien50
2026-03-29Chatelaillon?1st1st0
2026-02-27Cordemais50
2025-10-14Vincennes?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0922/0829/0415/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength73%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/09/20247th16/116%60%+0.44
30/10/20247th18/15%60%+0.55
14/08/20252nd10/382%92%+0.10
22/08/20252nd10/382%92%+0.10
15/09/20251st1/195%100%+0.05
29/03/20261st11/893%100%+0.07
29/04/20262nd9/488%93%+0.05
15/07/20261st5/174%100%+0.26