2

Kelle Belle Jasma
6yo Mare · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De Chalons Du Maine - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
19%
Place Prob
25%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Langon-Libourne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Saint-Malo | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-02 | Agen | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Nantes | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-25 | Nantes | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 85% | +0.24 |
| 09/09/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 70% | -0.09 |
| 09/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 93% | +0.05 |
| 16/01/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 13% | +0.07 |
| 25/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 92% | +0.29 |
| 21/02/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 92% | +0.23 |
| 17/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 87% | +0.13 |
| 02/04/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |