2

Kelle Belle Jasma

6yo Mare · 0-0

Enghien · Prix De Chalons Du Maine - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

19%

Place Prob

25%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength22%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pornichet 14/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 014/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 09/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 09/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 09/10C?4 @ Nantes 16/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 05 @ Nantes 25/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 025/0155 @ Nantes 21/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 17/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 017/03C?4 @ Agen 02/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m4f176y Std 0C0 @ Langon-Libourne 14/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 17 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 014/07C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14Langon-Libourne?3rd3rd0
2026-05-24Saint-Malo?0
2026-04-02Agen41st1st0
2026-03-17Meslay Du Maine?3rd3rd0
2026-02-21Nantes52nd2nd0
2026-01-25Nantes52nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0816/0117/0314/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 10
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/08/20253rd15/261%85%+0.24
09/09/20254th4/179%70%-0.09
09/10/20252nd9/488%93%+0.05
16/01/20268th18/15%13%+0.07
25/01/20262nd7/163%92%+0.29
21/02/20262nd6/168%92%+0.23
17/03/20263rd5/174%87%+0.13
02/04/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
14/07/20263rd3/184%88%+0.03