4
Duke Of New York
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix D'aigremont - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#4
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Vincennes | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Vincennes | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Vincennes | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-10 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-01-23 | Vincennes | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength32%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2024 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 10/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 69% | -0.04 |
| 19/06/2026 | 15th | 11/1 | 42% | 13% | -0.30 |
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |