9

Humour Festif

9yo Gelding · 10-3

Enghien · Prix De La Place Vauban - Monte · 1m 3f 40y

#7

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 28/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 14328/09C?C0 @ Enghien 16/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 143C0 @ Nantes 05/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 1435/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 28/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 1434 @ Vincennes 15/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 14315/024C0 @ Marseille-borely 25/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 1433 @ Enghien 18/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 14318/043C0 @ Laval 03/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 1434 @ Cabourg 10/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 14310/074projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Cabourg47th7th0
2026-06-03Laval?2nd2nd0
2026-04-18Enghien34th4th0
2026-03-25Marseille-borely?5th5th0
2026-02-15Vincennes45th5th0
2025-12-28Vincennes?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0928/1218/0410/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength54%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/09/20255th20/10%64%+0.64
16/10/20255th9/276%60%-0.16
05/11/20256th12/137%62%+0.25
28/12/20253rd16/116%87%+0.71
15/02/20265th15/261%43%-0.18
25/03/20265th5/493%56%-0.38
18/04/20264th16/116%73%+0.57
03/06/20262nd11/142%92%+0.50
10/07/20267th10/147%33%-0.14