3
Ibis De Chahains
8yo Gelding · 9-13
Enghien · Prix De La Place Vauban - Monte · 1m 3f 40y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Vincennes | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Enghien | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-23 | Enghien | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Vincennes | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 23/11/2025 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 26/03/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 23/04/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 05/05/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 15/05/2026 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 19/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 01/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |