6

Ilio Mannetot

8yo Gelding · 10-3

Enghien · Prix De La Place Vauban - Monte · 1m 3f 40y

#9

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 02/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 1432/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 19/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 06/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 06/10C?C0 @ Maure De Bretagne 02/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 18 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 04 @ Laval 26/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 026/024C0 @ Laval 23/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 03 @ Vincennes 22/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 022/053C0 @ Cherbourg 24/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 04 @ Enghien 18/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 018/074projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Enghien48th8th0
2026-06-24Cherbourg?5th5th0
2026-05-22Vincennes38th8th0
2026-04-23Laval?4th4th0
2026-03-17Enghien?0
2026-02-26Laval49th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/092/0222/0518/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength62%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/09/20254th12/137%57%+0.20
19/09/20258th33/10%46%+0.46
06/10/20255th12/137%69%+0.32
02/02/20266th22/10%71%+0.71
26/02/20269th8/158%47%-0.11
23/04/20264th16/116%80%+0.64
22/05/20268th33/10%50%+0.50
24/06/20265th22/10%76%+0.76
18/07/20268th28/10%46%+0.46