11

Joie De La Cote

7yo Mare · 10-3

Enghien · Prix De La Place Vauban - Monte · 1m 3f 40y

#8

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Toulouse 19/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 019/0244 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 26/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 08/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 08/03C?C0 @ Enghien 24/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f40y Std 143C0 @ Cavaillon 07/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f121y Std 07/04C?3 @ Marseille-borely 07/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 04 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 23/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 023/054C0 @ Feurs 12/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f13y Std 04 @ Vichy 04/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 7f219y Std 04/074projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Vichy43rd3rd0
2026-06-12Feurs?6th6th0
2026-05-23Beaumont-De-Lomagne45th5th0
2026-05-07Marseille-borely38th8th0
2026-04-07Cavaillon?4th4th0
2026-03-24Enghien?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0224/0323/054/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength79%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/02/20268th80/10%13%+0.13
26/02/20262nd25/10%90%+0.90
08/03/20265th16/116%71%+0.56
24/03/20264th11/142%79%+0.36
07/04/20264th10/382%79%-0.04
07/05/20268th14/126%46%+0.20
23/05/20265th11/271%64%-0.07
12/06/20266th50/10%55%+0.55
04/07/20263rd4/179%71%-0.08