11

Joie De La Cote
7yo Mare · 10-3
Enghien · Prix De La Place Vauban - Monte · 1m 3f 40y
#8
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Vichy | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Feurs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Beaumont-De-Lomagne | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Cavaillon | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength79%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 26/02/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 08/03/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 24/03/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 79% | +0.36 |
| 07/04/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 79% | -0.04 |
| 07/05/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 46% | +0.20 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 64% | -0.07 |
| 12/06/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |