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6

Barrys Spirit

5yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 116

Galway · Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle · 2m 160y

#6

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Had excuses in bumpers prior to making a successful hurdling debut at Downpatrick and is best not judged on his final start for Gavin Cromwell in a Grade 3 last November. May do better now sent handicapping by new yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Roscommon 05/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m7f110y Goo 1645/08C?C0 @ Downpatrick 19/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 2m1f165y Yie 16619/09C?C8 @ Downpatrick 10/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 2m1f65y Yie 16510/10C81 @ Fairyhouse 29/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 2m Yie 15329/111projClass-projected finish: 10th of 17
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-11-29Fairyhouse15th5th0
2025-10-10Downpatrick?1st1st0
2025-09-19Downpatrick?4th4th0
2025-08-05Roscommon?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0819/0910/1029/11
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength27%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/08/20259th20/10%33%+0.33
19/09/20254th25/10%50%+0.50
10/10/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
29/11/20255th40/10%20%+0.20