7
Castleheath
5yo Gelding · 11-4 · OR 112
Galway · Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle · 2m 160y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | Limerick | 1 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Dundalk | BHA76 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Leopardstown | BHA76 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Curragh | BHA67 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-25 | Ballinrobe | BHA118 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-03 | Galway | BHA119 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 17
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength32%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 10th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 13/03/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |
| 29/07/2025 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 03/08/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 79% | +0.08 |
| 25/08/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 28/09/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 19/10/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 76% | +0.00 |
| 26/11/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 77% | +0.06 |
| 29/12/2025 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |