13
Party President
6yo Gelding · 10-8 · OR 102
Galway · Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle · 2m 160y
#12
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Galway | BHA105 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Killarney | BHA104 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Wexford | BHA106 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Roscommon | BHA104 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Tramore | BHA106 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-09 | Naas | BHA107 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength28%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 17/07/2025 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 42% | -0.32 |
| 17/11/2025 | 11th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 15/12/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 73% | +0.13 |
| 09/01/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 08/06/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 30/06/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 58% | -0.23 |
| 16/07/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 64% | -0.04 |
| 28/07/2026 | 14th | 28/1 | 0% | 32% | +0.32 |