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Timurshah

5yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 122

Galway · Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle · 2m 160y

#1

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

57%

Place Prob

52%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has proved a revelation since joining current connections, winning each of his last 3 handicaps and defying a 16 lb rise when decisively accounting for 19 rivals in a C&D event 6 days ago, beating Whats New by 6½ lengths. Up another 13 lb here but further progress not ruled out.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 12/07/2024 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f150y Std 13412/07C8C8 @ Listowel 23/09/2024 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 75 · 1m4f Goo 134 · below its mark23/09/2024 · OR 75 parC8 @ Kilbeggan 25/07/2025 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 2m2f200y Goo 15425/07C8C8 @ Roscommon 05/08/2025 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 1m7f110y Goo 155C8 @ Kilbeggan 05/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 2m3f100y Goo 1565/09C8BHA94 @ Thurles 27/11/2025 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 94 · 2m11y Goo 162 · below its mark27/11/2025 · OR 94 parBHA93 @ Clonmel 05/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 93 · 2m113y Goo 161 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 93 par5/0693OR 93BHA93 @ Sligo 09/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 93 · 2m1f157y Yie 169 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 93 parBHA109 @ Galway 27/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 20 · OR 109 · 2m130y Gd 165 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 109 par27/07109OR 109projClass-projected finish: 1st of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-27GalwayBHA1091st1st0
2026-06-09SligoBHA931st1st0
2026-06-05ClonmelBHA931st1st0
2025-11-27ThurlesBHA9412th12th0
2025-09-05Kilbeggan?6th6th0
2025-08-05Roscommon?14th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/075/085/0627/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/20246th14/126%58%+0.32
23/09/20247th15/261%25%-0.36
25/07/202513th80/10%20%+0.20
05/08/202514th200/10%7%+0.07
05/09/20256th150/10%64%+0.64
27/11/202512th66/10%8%+0.08
05/06/20261st20/10%100%+1.00
09/06/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
27/07/20261st12/137%100%+0.63