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17

Torque De Lune

6yo Mare · 10-0 · OR 93

Galway · Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle · 2m 160y

#11

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has shown ability with in-frame finishes at Downpatrick/Limerick in recent months. Unseated last time but is worth persevering with at staying trips and it would be no surprise were she step up on her previous efforts now tackling a handicap. Races from 1 lb out of the weights.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Limerick 18/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 2m50y Hvy 16118/11C?C0 @ Thurles 20/12/2025 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 2m26y Yie 16520/12C?C8 @ Downpatrick 13/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 2m2f185y Gd 15313/06C8C8 @ Limerick 02/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR - · 2m4f Gd 1592/07C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 17
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Killarney?0
2026-07-02Limerick?3rd3rd0
2026-06-13Downpatrick?4th4th0
2026-05-14Clonmel?0
2025-12-20Thurles?13th13th0
2025-11-18Limerick?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/1120/1213/062/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength97%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/11/20254th40/10%50%+0.50
20/12/202513th80/10%20%+0.20
13/06/20264th250/10%67%+0.67
02/07/20263rd66/10%88%+0.88