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10

Wahraan

8yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 108

Galway · Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle · 2m 160y

#2

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

52%

Place Prob

49%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful but ungenuine on the Flat (stays 2¼m) but showed none of his usual quirks when landing 8-runner maiden hurdle at Market Rasen in May by ¼ lengths from Jessie Jump Jet. Ran a stormer when edged out by Cock And Bull in 2m Flat handicap here on Wednesday. Handicap hurdle debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Pontefract 20/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 80 · 2m2f2y Sft 132 · beat its mark20/10/2025 · OR 80 par20/102OR 802 @ Wetherby 15/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 2m Sft 1541 @ Haydock 17/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 1m7f144y GS 15817/0114 @ Southwell 14/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 80 · 2m102y Std 135 · below its mark14/03/2026 · OR 80 par3 @ Beverley 15/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 78 · 2m32y Goo 128 · beat its mark15/04/2026 · OR 78 par15/043OR 782 @ Chester 08/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 17 · OR 78 · 2m2f140y Goo 128 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ Pontefract 22/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 76 · 2m1f27y Goo 129 · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 76 par22/054OR 764 @ Market Rasen 28/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 2m2f140y Gd 158BHA73 @ Galway 29/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 19 · OR 73 · 2m110y Yie 133 · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 73 par29/0773OR 73projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29GalwayBHA732nd2nd0
2026-05-28Market Rasen41st1st0
2026-05-22Pontefract45th5th0
2026-05-08Chester210th10th0
2026-04-15Beverley34th4th0
2026-03-14Southwell46th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/1014/0322/0529/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength23%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 17.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/10/20252nd22/10%67%+0.67
15/11/20253rd33/10%75%+0.75
17/01/20266th150/10%0%0.00
14/03/20266th20/10%0%0.00
15/04/20264th17/255%25%-0.30
08/05/202610th40/10%44%+0.44
22/05/20265th11/142%33%-0.09
28/05/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
29/07/20262nd28/10%94%+0.94