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18

Adaliz

6yo Mare · 10-6 · OR 100

Galway · Kenny Galway Peugeot Handicap Hurdle · 3m 60y

#9

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Relatively lightly-raced 6-y-o. Struggled off higher marks since recording a second handicap success at Tipperary last summer. Handicapper has been slow to relent and first-time blinkers/return to 3m will need to spark improvement.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Punchestown 24/02/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 2m157y Hvy 15124/02C8C8 @ Navan 22/03/2025 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR - · 2m Sft 159BHA94 @ Bellewstown 12/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 94 · 2m4f110y Gd 163 · below its mark12/04/2025 · OR 94 par12/0494OR 94BHA90 @ Clonmel 15/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 90 · 2m3f137y Gd 158 · beat its mark15/05/2025 · OR 90 parBHA94 @ Clonmel 06/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 94 · 2m3f203y Goo 150 · below its mark06/06/2025 · OR 94 par6/0694OR 94BHA95 @ Tipperary 03/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 95 · 2m7f120y Goo 163 · beat its mark03/07/2025 · OR 95 parBHA103 @ Roscommon 05/08/2025 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR 103 · 3m Goo 159 · below its mark05/08/2025 · OR 103 par5/08103OR 103BHA102 @ Punchestown 07/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR 102 · 2m3f12y Goo 155 · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 102 parBHA101 @ Downpatrick 14/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 101 · 2m5f185y Gd 157 · below its mark14/07/2026 · OR 101 par14/07101OR 101projClass-projected finish: 18th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14DownpatrickBHA10110th10th0
2026-06-07PunchestownBHA1029th9th0
2025-08-05RoscommonBHA10313th13th0
2025-07-03TipperaryBHA951st1st0
2025-06-06ClonmelBHA943rd3rd0
2025-05-15ClonmelBHA901st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0215/055/0814/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 18
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength41%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 14th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/02/20256th12/137%55%+0.18
22/03/20259th50/10%53%+0.53
12/04/20256th9/153%38%-0.15
15/05/20251st25/10%100%+1.00
06/06/20253rd6/168%87%+0.18
03/07/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
05/08/202513th7/282%20%-0.62
07/06/20269th14/126%47%+0.20
14/07/202610th6/168%25%-0.43