23
Pat Coyne
12yo Gelding · 10-1 · OR 95
Galway · Kenny Galway Peugeot Handicap Hurdle · 3m 60y
#17
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#17
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-16 | Tramore | BHA104 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-07-25 | Wexford | BHA104 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-07-16 | Killarney | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-05-17 | Kilbeggan | BHA119 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2024-04-21 | Tramore | BHA104 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2023-10-12 | Tramore | BHA106 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 18
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength88%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/2023 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 11% | -0.47 |
| 18/09/2023 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 58% | +0.11 |
| 02/10/2023 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 62% | +0.46 |
| 12/10/2023 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 21/04/2024 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 70% | +0.02 |
| 17/05/2024 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 18% | +0.13 |
| 16/07/2024 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/07/2024 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 16/08/2024 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 79% | +0.42 |