5
Pinot Rouge
8yo Mare · 11-9 · OR 117
Galway · Kenny Galway Peugeot Handicap Hurdle · 3m 60y
#11
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Hexham | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Cartmel | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Ayr | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Hexham | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-26 | Wetherby | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Haydock | 3 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 18
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength62%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 10/05/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 07/06/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 11/10/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |
| 07/11/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 26/02/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 18/04/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 23/05/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |