19

Sallap

6yo Mare · 10-6 · OR 100

Galway · Kenny Galway Peugeot Handicap Hurdle · 3m 60y

#10

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#10

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made it 3 wins from her last 4 completed starts (set to win when falling at Thurles last October) with a smooth-travelling performance under this excellent conditional at Limerick last time. She's thriving and still relatively unexposed over 3m. Hat-trick not ruled out off 9 lb higher.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class: BHA73
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 17/11/2024 · Pos 17th of 21 · OR - · 2m Yie 16117/11C8BHA87 @ Downpatrick 09/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 87 · 2m5f180y Gd 155 · below its mark09/05/2025 · OR 87 parBHA84 @ Wexford 28/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 84 · 2m1f Gd 154 · below its mark28/05/2025 · OR 84 par28/0584OR 84BHA80 @ Ballinrobe 22/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 80 · 2m6f41y Gd 152 · below its mark22/07/2025 · OR 80 parBHA77 @ Wexford 29/08/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 77 · 2m4f100y Goo 147 · below its mark29/08/2025 · OR 77 par29/0877OR 77BHA73 @ Clonmel 02/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 73 · 2m6f170y Yie 141 · beat its mark02/10/2025 · OR 73 parBHA85 @ Cork 10/05/2026 · Pos 14th of 21 · OR 85 · 3m80y Goo 153 · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 85 par10/0585OR 85BHA84 @ Clonmel 05/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 84 · 2m6f90y Goo 152 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 84 parBHA91 @ Limerick 02/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR 91 · 2m6f120y Gd 159 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 91 par2/0791OR 91projClass-projected finish: 1st of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-02LimerickBHA911st1st0
2026-06-05ClonmelBHA841st1st0
2026-05-10CorkBHA8514th14th0
2025-10-16ThurlesBHA830
2025-10-02ClonmelBHA731st1st0
2025-08-29WexfordBHA7712th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/1122/0710/052/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 18
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/11/202417th200/10%20%+0.20
09/05/20259th50/10%20%+0.20
28/05/20259th33/10%33%+0.33
22/07/20254th22/10%79%+0.79
29/08/202512th10/147%15%-0.32
02/10/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
10/05/202614th20/10%35%+0.35
05/06/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
02/07/20261st15/261%100%+0.39