9
Stormbreaker
7yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 115
Galway · Kenny Galway Peugeot Handicap Hurdle · 3m 60y
#16
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Sligo | BHA117 | 0 | ||
| 2025-04-22 | Fairyhouse | 1 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-03-14 | Cheltenham | 2 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-02-02 | Leopardstown | 1 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2024-12-31 | Punchestown | BHA120 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-11-30 | Fairyhouse | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 18
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength24%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 18th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2022 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 73% | +0.02 |
| 31/07/2024 | 14th | 13/2 | 66% | 19% | -0.47 |
| 26/08/2024 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 27/09/2024 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 30/11/2024 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 55% | -0.34 |
| 31/12/2024 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |
| 02/02/2025 | 12th | 9/1 | 53% | 35% | -0.17 |
| 14/03/2025 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 61% | +0.61 |
| 22/04/2025 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |