14
Tullyveery Lad
10yo Gelding · 10-12 · OR 106
Galway · Kenny Galway Peugeot Handicap Hurdle · 3m 60y
#7
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C10.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Roscommon | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Ballinrobe | BHA110 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Down Royal | BHA115 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tramore | BHA116 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-09 | Tramore | BHA110 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-17 | Tramore | BHA110 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 18
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength70%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 05/07/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 06/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 17/08/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 09/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 19/04/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 04/05/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 25/05/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |