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9

Inchidaly Copper

10yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 105

Galway · Kinlay Hostel Handicap Chase · 2m 6f 111y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair chaser. Has some creditable efforts to his name over hurdles since last run over fences, winning at Killarney in October. Stepped up on reappearance when third of 14 in handicap hurdle at that course (2½m, good to soft) 17 days ago. Back chasing with the blinkers refitted.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA86 @ Listowel 31/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 18 · OR 86 · 2m7f100y Goo 156 · below its mark31/05/2025 · OR 86 par31/0586OR 86BHA109 @ Wexford 06/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 109 · 2m3f130y Goo 165 · below its mark06/08/2025 · OR 109 parBHA86 @ Tramore 14/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 86 · 2m4f100y Gd 154 · below its mark14/08/2025 · OR 86 par14/0886OR 86BHA89 @ Ballinrobe 25/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 89 · 2m6f61y Goo 155 · below its mark25/08/2025 · OR 89 parBHA89 @ Killarney 05/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 89 · 2m6f180y Yie 157 · beat its mark05/10/2025 · OR 89 par5/1089OR 89BHA94 @ Limerick 18/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 94 · 2m5f Yie 162 · below its mark18/10/2025 · OR 94 parBHA95 @ Cork 02/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 95 · 2m4f Yie 151 · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 95 par2/1195OR 95BHA94 @ Limerick 02/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 94 · 2m110y Gd 150 · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 94 parBHA93 @ Killarney 16/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 93 · 2m4f85y Goo 161 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 93 par16/0793OR 93projClass-projected finish: 6th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16KillarneyBHA933rd3rd0
2026-07-02LimerickBHA948th8th0
2025-11-02CorkBHA953rd3rd0
2025-10-18LimerickBHA943rd3rd0
2025-10-05KillarneyBHA891st1st0
2025-08-25BallinrobeBHA896th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0525/082/1116/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 18
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength81%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/05/20254th2/189%82%-0.07
06/08/20259th16/116%20%+0.04
14/08/20252nd5/174%93%+0.19
25/08/20256th10/382%62%-0.21
05/10/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
18/10/20253rd7/163%87%+0.24
02/11/20253rd6/168%86%+0.17
02/07/20268th14/126%30%+0.04
16/07/20263rd9/153%85%+0.32