12
Noble Talent
9yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 103
Galway · Kinlay Hostel Handicap Chase · 2m 6f 111y
#15
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 11.5 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C10.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Punchestown | BHA106 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-10 | Wexford | BHA100 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-19 | Cork | BHA103 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Leopardstown | BHA112 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-31 | Punchestown | BHA115 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Gowran Park | BHA116 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 18
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 18th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2024 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 09/05/2024 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |
| 02/10/2024 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 13/10/2024 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |
| 09/11/2024 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 31/12/2024 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 15/02/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 82% | +0.06 |
| 31/12/2025 | 16th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/03/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |