8
Prince Palace
8yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 106
Galway · Kinlay Hostel Handicap Chase · 2m 6f 111y
#18
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#18
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C9.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA109 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Roscommon | BHA110 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Leopardstown | BHA114 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Punchestown | BHA116 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-14 | Navan | BHA118 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-16 | Navan | 1 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 18
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength33%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 17th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02/2025 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 83% | +0.28 |
| 01/03/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 22/03/2025 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 85% | +0.29 |
| 02/05/2025 | 11th | 11/1 | 42% | 41% | -0.01 |
| 26/10/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 16/11/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 02/03/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 08/06/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 29% | +0.23 |
| 24/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |