13
Riggs
11yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 103
Galway · Kinlay Hostel Handicap Chase · 2m 6f 111y
#13
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C10.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Wexford | BHA106 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-15 | Kilbeggan | BHA97 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Wexford | BHA109 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-02 | Punchestown | ? | 19th | 19th | 0 |
| 2025-08-29 | Down Royal | BHA100 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Kilbeggan | BHA110 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 18
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength2%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/2025 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 09/05/2025 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 17/05/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 07/06/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.34 |
| 23/07/2025 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 09/08/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 29/08/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |
| 02/05/2026 | 19th | 66/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 15/06/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |