1
Soldante
8yo Gelding · 12-1 · OR 113
Galway · Kinlay Hostel Handicap Chase · 2m 6f 111y
#1
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
92%
Place Prob
60%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C10.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Galway | BHA104 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Roscommon | BHA105 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Wexford | BHA105 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tramore | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Clonmel | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-01-19 | Thurles | BHA111 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 18
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2024 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 16/04/2024 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 18/09/2024 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 19/01/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 26/03/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 71% | +0.16 |
| 07/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 82% | +0.24 |
| 08/06/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 89% | +0.29 |