2
Coming Up Easy
8yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 140
Galway · Lord Hemphill Memorial Handicap Chase · 2m 2f 54y
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 7.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | Aintree | 1 | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-23 | Killarney | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-04-21 | Cork | BHA125 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-03-13 | Limerick | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-01-18 | Navan | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength32%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/11/2023 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 11/04/2024 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 02/05/2024 | 19th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 07/12/2024 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 18/01/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 13/03/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 21/04/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 23/08/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 10/04/2026 | 16th | 25/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |