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10

Itsalladream

7yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 122

Galway · Lord Hemphill Memorial Handicap Chase · 2m 2f 54y

#9

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful chaser who won novice at Roscommon last summer and gave it a good go under a change of tactics when 6 lengths fourth of 10 to Lisleigh Lad on handicap chase debut at Wexford last time. Claims of being in the frame again despite racing from 2 lb out of the handicap.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Roscommon 09/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 2m35y Goo 1569/06C81 @ Galway 31/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 130 · 2m2f54y Goo 155 · below its mark31/07/2025 · OR 130 parBHA114 @ Downpatrick 10/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 114 · 2m1f165y Goo 153 · below its mark10/08/2025 · OR 114 par10/08114OR 114C8 @ Killarney 23/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 126 · 2m7f80y Goo 160 · below its mark23/08/2025 · OR 126 par1 @ Roscommon 29/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 124 · 2m147y Goo 155 · below its mark29/09/2025 · OR 124 par29/091OR 1241 @ Punchestown 15/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 124 · 2m7f39y Goo 154 · below its mark15/10/2025 · OR 124 par1 @ Killarney 11/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 122 · 2m4f100y Goo 151 · below its mark11/05/2026 · OR 122 par11/051OR 122BHA122 @ Listowel 01/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 122 · 2m3f Yie 160 · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 122 parBHA122 @ Wexford 03/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 122 · 2m3f110y Gd 148 · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 122 par3/07122OR 122projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-03WexfordBHA1224th4th0
2026-06-01ListowelBHA1225th5th0
2026-05-11Killarney15th5th0
2025-10-15Punchestown15th5th0
2025-09-29Roscommon14th4th0
2025-08-23Killarney?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0623/0811/053/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength90%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/06/20251st16/583%100%+0.17
31/07/202510th16/116%10%-0.06
10/08/20253rd5/287%33%-0.54
23/08/20255th10/382%20%-0.62
29/09/20254th40/10%40%+0.40
15/10/20255th50/10%20%+0.20
11/05/20265th66/10%43%+0.43
01/06/20265th22/10%20%+0.20
03/07/20264th7/163%67%+0.04