3
Runcok
6yo Gelding · 10-9 · OR 133
Galway · Lord Hemphill Memorial Handicap Chase · 2m 2f 54y
#11
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Ballinrobe | BHA135 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-08-25 | Ballinrobe | BHA138 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-31 | Galway | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-07-01 | Tipperary | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-09 | Roscommon | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-05-02 | Punchestown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 11
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 11th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2024 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 11/01/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 24/02/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 06/04/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 02/05/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 55% | -0.30 |
| 01/07/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 31/07/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 25/08/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 0% | -0.90 |
| 25/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |