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9

War Correspondent

7yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 123

Galway · Lord Hemphill Memorial Handicap Chase · 2m 2f 54y

#7

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Untrustworthy sort who stepped up on recent stable debut when 3 lengths third of 6 to Emerald Time at Uttoxeter 7 days ago. Back over fences here but just as likely to run poorly as he is to back his previous effort up. Races from 1 lb out of the handicap.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Wexford 29/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR - · 2m3f100y Goo 16329/08C8BHA76 @ Clonmel 11/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 76 · 2m144y Sft 126 · below its mark11/09/2025 · OR 76 par1 @ Listowel 26/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 119 · 2m Goo 145 · below its mark26/09/2025 · OR 119 par26/091OR 1191 @ Punchestown 15/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 125 · 2m2f75y Goo 155 · below its mark15/10/2025 · OR 125 parBHA118 @ Sligo 24/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 118 · 2m1f112y Goo 166 · below its mark24/10/2025 · OR 118 par24/10118OR 118BHA126 @ Wexford 07/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 126 · 2m Goo 166 · below its mark07/05/2026 · OR 126 parC8 @ Wexford 27/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 116 · 2m1f Goo 168 · below its mark27/05/2026 · OR 116 par27/05C8OR 1164 @ Stratford 12/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 121 · 2m2f148y GF 169 · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 121 par4 @ Uttoxeter 26/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 118 · 1m7f168y Gd 168 · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 118 par26/074OR 118projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26Uttoxeter43rd3rd0
2026-07-12Stratford44th4th0
2026-06-06PunchestownBHA1230
2026-05-27Wexford?4th4th0
2026-05-07WexfordBHA1264th4th0
2026-04-20Tramore?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0815/1027/0526/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength55%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/08/20254th6/168%0%-0.68
11/09/20255th40/10%60%+0.60
26/09/20259th22/10%27%+0.27
15/10/20253rd33/10%60%+0.60
24/10/20253rd16/116%33%+0.18
07/05/20264th20/10%67%+0.67
27/05/20264th11/271%63%-0.09
12/07/20264th40/10%25%+0.25
26/07/20263rd28/10%60%+0.60