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5

Gleneagle Bay

6yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 96

Galway · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Ahonoora Handicap (Premier Handicap) · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Attracted support and bounced back to form to win for the first time since his debut in 15-runner event at Cork (7f, good) in June. Caught behind a wall of horses and unable to fully open up when 7¾ lengths sixth of 17 to Orandi in the BMW Mile at this course 5 days ago. Drawn wide here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA95 @ Galway 03/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 95 · 7f Sft 132 · below its mark03/08/2025 · OR 95 par3/0895OR 95BHA97 @ Leopardstown 13/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 97 · 7f Goo 134 · below its mark13/09/2025 · OR 97 parBHA97 @ Gowran Park 20/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 97 · 7f Hvy 134 · below its mark20/09/2025 · OR 97 par20/0997OR 972 @ York 11/10/2025 · Pos 16th of 19 · OR 97 · 6f Gd 132 · below its mark11/10/2025 · OR 97 parBHA95 @ Curragh 03/04/2026 · Pos 18th of 21 · OR 95 · 1m Sft 136 · below its mark03/04/2026 · OR 95 par3/0495OR 95BHA94 @ Cork 03/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 94 · 7f Sft 138 · below its mark03/05/2026 · OR 94 parBHA92 @ Cork 19/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 92 · 7f Sft 142 · below its mark19/05/2026 · OR 92 par19/0592OR 92BHA89 @ Cork 14/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 89 · 7f Gd 124 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 89 parBHA96 @ Galway 28/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 17 · OR 96 · 1m123y Yie 133 · below its mark28/07/2026 · OR 96 par28/0796OR 96projClass-projected finish: 5th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-28GalwayBHA966th6th0
2026-06-14CorkBHA891st1st0
2026-05-19CorkBHA925th5th0
2026-05-03CorkBHA944th4th0
2026-04-03CurraghBHA9518th18th0
2025-10-11York216th16th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0811/1019/0528/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 14
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength47%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/08/20252nd18/581%93%+0.12
13/09/20254th7/491%80%-0.11
20/09/20252nd5/696%80%-0.16
11/10/202516th9/153%17%-0.36
03/04/202618th5/174%15%-0.59
03/05/20264th13/266%73%+0.07
19/05/20265th3/184%43%-0.41
14/06/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
28/07/20266th11/142%69%+0.27