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Jagged Edge

4yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 102

Galway · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Ahonoora Handicap (Premier Handicap) · 7f

#8

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won the Irish Cambridgeshire last summer and better than ever when scoring in impressive style on yard debut at Naas in May. Shaped much better than the bare result in Royal Hunt Cup and ran well to finish third of 17 in the BMW Mile here 5 days ago, despite having to make ground widest of all.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 14/02/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m Std 13414/02C8C8 @ Cork 19/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR - · 1m Sft 134BHA90 @ Curragh 24/05/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 90 · 7f Goo 138 · below its mark24/05/2025 · OR 90 par24/0590OR 90BHA88 @ Curragh 30/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 88 · 1m Goo 119 · beat its mark30/08/2025 · OR 88 parBHA92 @ Curragh 14/09/2025 · Pos 17th of 21 · OR 92 · 1m2f Goo 127 · below its mark14/09/2025 · OR 92 par14/0992OR 92BHA93 @ Naas 17/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 93 · 1m Gd 140 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 93 par2 @ Royal Ascot 17/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 28 · OR 102 · 1m GF 130 · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 102 par17/062OR 102BHA102 @ Galway 28/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 17 · OR 102 · 1m123y Yie 139 · below its mark28/07/2026 · OR 102 par28/07102OR 102projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-28GalwayBHA1023rd3rd0
2026-06-17Royal Ascot212th12th0
2026-05-17NaasBHA931st1st0
2025-09-14CurraghBHA9217th17th0
2025-08-30CurraghBHA881st1st0
2025-05-24CurraghBHA9011th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0230/0817/0628/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength94%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/02/20253rd17/255%80%+0.25
19/04/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
24/05/202511th4/179%0%-0.79
30/08/20251st22/10%100%+1.00
14/09/202517th25/10%20%+0.20
17/05/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
17/06/202612th8/158%59%+0.01
28/07/20263rd15/261%88%+0.27