8
Lord Massusus
6yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 95
Galway · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Ahonoora Handicap (Premier Handicap) · 7f
#10
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Galway | BHA95 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Leopardstown | BHA97 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Curragh | BHA98 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Leopardstown | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Gowran Park | BHA102 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Leopardstown | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 19/10/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 28/03/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 15/04/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 10/05/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 09/07/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |
| 28/07/2026 | 15th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |