6

Orandi

8yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 89

Galway · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Ahonoora Handicap (Premier Handicap) · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winner of last year's Irish Lincolnshire and he was right back to his best after a low-key start to the year when beating several of these in the BMW Mile here earlier in the week. Can go well again under a penalty, although has widest stall to overcome.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength13%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Class-adjusted form 12.2 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA97 @ Galway 29/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 97 · 1m123y Yie 133 · below its mark29/07/2025 · OR 97 par29/0797OR 97BHA97 @ Galway 03/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 97 · 7f Sft 134 · below its mark03/08/2025 · OR 97 par2 @ Ascot 18/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 20 · OR 96 · 1m Gd 124 · beat its mark18/10/2025 · OR 96 par18/102OR 96BHA95 @ Curragh 02/11/2025 · Pos 21st of 23 · OR 95 · 1m Hvy 140 · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 95 parBHA94 @ Curragh 15/03/2026 · Pos 15th of 25 · OR 94 · 1m Hvy 129 · below its mark15/03/2026 · OR 94 par15/0394OR 942 @ Doncaster 28/03/2026 · Pos 21st of 21 · OR 94 · 1m Goo 128 · below its mark28/03/2026 · OR 94 parBHA93 @ Limerick 25/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 93 · 1m50y Yie 143 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 93 par25/0493OR 93BHA90 @ Curragh 28/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 90 · 1m Gd 132 · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 90 parBHA89 @ Galway 28/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR 89 · 1m123y Yie 126 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 89 par28/0789OR 89projClass-projected finish: 6th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-28GalwayBHA891st1st0
2026-06-28CurraghBHA908th8th0
2026-04-25LimerickBHA937th7th0
2026-03-28Doncaster221th21th0
2026-03-15CurraghBHA9415th15th0
2025-11-02CurraghBHA9521th21th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/072/1125/0428/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength75%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/07/20253rd6/168%85%+0.16
03/08/20259th10/147%43%-0.05
18/10/20258th28/10%63%+0.63
02/11/202521st18/15%9%+0.04
15/03/202615th11/271%42%-0.29
28/03/202621st28/10%0%0.00
25/04/20267th40/10%60%+0.60
28/06/20268th50/10%42%+0.42
28/07/20261st16/116%100%+0.84