
Orandi
8yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 89
Galway · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Ahonoora Handicap (Premier Handicap) · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 12.2 /10 (raw 6.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Galway | BHA89 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Curragh | BHA90 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Limerick | BHA93 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Doncaster | 2 | 21th | 21th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Curragh | BHA94 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Curragh | BHA95 | 21th | 21th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 85% | +0.16 |
| 03/08/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 18/10/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 02/11/2025 | 21st | 18/1 | 5% | 9% | +0.04 |
| 15/03/2026 | 15th | 11/2 | 71% | 42% | -0.29 |
| 28/03/2026 | 21st | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 28/06/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |