14
Pierre Royal
4yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 91
Galway · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Ahonoora Handicap (Premier Handicap) · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Galway | BHA91 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Curragh | BHA82 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Limerick | BHA83 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-06-05 | Leopardstown | BHA88 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-05-21 | Gowran Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-05-07 | Gowran Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 91% | +0.03 |
| 21/05/2025 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 05/06/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 55% | -0.27 |
| 10/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 28/06/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 94% | +0.12 |