8

Seaxburh
2yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 77
Galway · Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
5/4
Win Prob
29%
Place Prob
30%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Gowran Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Down Royal | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Roscommon | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Roscommon | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 30/06/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 64% | -0.04 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 89% | -0.05 |