8

Seaxburh

2yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 77

Galway · Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden · 7f

#3

Rank

Odds

5/4

Win Prob

29%

Place Prob

30%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced filly who matched her previous best equipped with first-time cheekpieces when second in a Gowran maiden (7f) 8 days ago, pulling clear of the remainder. Big player with a repeat.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Roscommon 18/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 7f94y Goo 12818/05C8C8 @ Roscommon 30/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 7f94y Goo 12830/06C8C8 @ Down Royal 17/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 7f25y Goo 12817/07C8C8 @ Gowran Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 79 · 7f Goo 124 · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 79 par25/07C8OR 79projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Gowran Park?2nd2nd0
2026-07-17Down Royal?2nd2nd0
2026-06-30Roscommon?6th6th0
2026-05-18Roscommon?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0530/0617/0725/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/05/20265th9/276%43%-0.33
30/06/20266th6/168%64%-0.04
17/07/20262nd9/276%80%+0.04
25/07/20262nd5/493%89%-0.05