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9

Star Glory

2yo Filly · 8-12

Galway · Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden · 7f

#1

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

35%

Place Prob

33%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Cotai Glory filly who built on debut promise after 10 weeks off when second of 12 in a Leopardstown maiden (7f) 17 days ago, edged out only late on. Has a race of this nature within compass on that evidence and she's a player for trainer who took this race 12 months ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 04/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 1254/05C8C8 @ Leopardstown 16/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 7f50y Goo 12816/07C8projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Leopardstown?2nd2nd0
2026-05-04Curragh?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0516/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength85%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/05/20266th33/10%55%+0.55
16/07/20262nd11/142%91%+0.49