IvyArcIvyArc
7

Whosinterviewinwho

2yo Colt · 8-13

Galway · Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden · 7f

#5

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hinted at promise when mid-field both starts in maidens, keeping on without landing a blow when fifth at Leopardstown (6.5f) in July. Appeals as the type to make more of an impact in handicaps after this.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Roscommon 30/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 7f94y Goo 12730/06C8C8 @ Leopardstown 16/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 6f110y Goo 12616/07C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Leopardstown?5th5th0
2026-06-30Roscommon?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0616/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength63%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/06/20267th50/10%57%+0.57
16/07/20265th25/10%60%+0.60