3

Blue Blue Moon

3yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 74

Galway · Village Salthill Handicap · 1m 73y

#10

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Upped markedly in trip but never looked like justifying support after 3 months off when fifth of 9 in maiden at Limerick (12.3f, good to firm) just over 3 weeks ago. Quickly drops back in distance for her handicap debut and could show plenty more.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Naas 05/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m Goo 1275/071C8 @ Curragh 03/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f Sft 1293/04C8C8 @ Limerick 11/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f65y Gd 12911/07C8projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11Limerick?5th5th0
2026-04-03Curragh?7th7th0
2025-07-05Naas15th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/073/0411/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 11
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength8%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/07/20255th25/10%33%+0.33
03/04/20267th12/137%14%-0.23
11/07/20265th5/287%50%-0.37