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10

Cisterna

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 60

Galway · Village Salthill Handicap · 1m 73y

#5

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improved effort when comfortably winning a 14-runner event at Roscommon (7.5f, good) in May. Has shaped as if still in good form since, running creditably at the longest trip he's has tackled when fifth of 14 at Fairyhouse (8.7f, good) last month.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class: BHA57
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA60 @ Cork 30/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 60 · 6f Yie 119 · beat its mark30/09/2025 · OR 60 par30/0960OR 60BHA63 @ Navan 08/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 63 · 5f180y Yie 131 · below its mark08/10/2025 · OR 63 parBHA61 @ Dundalk 27/02/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR 61 · 7f Std 129 · below its mark27/02/2026 · OR 61 par27/0261OR 61BHA60 @ Naas 22/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 60 · 5f Sft 128 · beat its mark22/03/2026 · OR 60 parBHA58 @ Gowran Park 08/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 58 · 7f Sft 132 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 58 par8/0458OR 58BHA57 @ Roscommon 11/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 57 · 7f111y Gd 125 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 57 parBHA62 @ Curragh 03/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR 62 · 6f63y Goo 132 · beat its mark03/06/2026 · OR 62 par3/0662OR 62BHA62 @ Cork 14/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 62 · 1m Gd 133 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 62 parBHA62 @ Fairyhouse 01/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 62 · 1m160y Goo 132 · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 62 par1/0762OR 62projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-01FairyhouseBHA625th5th0
2026-06-14CorkBHA625th5th0
2026-06-03CurraghBHA627th7th0
2026-05-11RoscommonBHA571st1st0
2026-04-08Gowran ParkBHA583rd3rd0
2026-03-22NaasBHA605th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0922/033/061/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength59%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/09/20252nd28/10%91%+0.91
08/10/20257th4/179%50%-0.29
27/02/202613th5/174%0%-0.74
22/03/20265th20/10%71%+0.71
08/04/20263rd10/147%78%+0.30
11/05/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
03/06/20267th5/174%65%-0.09
14/06/20265th5/174%64%-0.10
01/07/20265th15/261%69%+0.09