9

Jp's Express

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 64

Galway · Village Salthill Handicap · 1m 73y

#1

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

98%

Place Prob

88%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Much improved of late and landed a gamble fitted with first-time cheekpieces in 18-runner C&D handicap on Friday, beating a number of these. Got to be respected bidding for a quick double.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: BHA64
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Galway 27/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 7f Sft 13327/10C8C8 @ Dundalk 12/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 7f Std 12612/11C8C8 @ Gowran Park 22/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 7f Sft 13422/04C8BHA74 @ Naas 09/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 74 · 5f205y Gd 124 · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 74 par9/0574OR 74BHA67 @ Leopardstown 04/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 67 · 1m Sft 137 · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 67 par4/0667OR 67BHA64 @ Fairyhouse 01/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 64 · 1m160y Goo 134 · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 64 par1/0764OR 64BHA64 @ Galway 31/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR 64 · 1m98y Yie 134 · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 64 par31/0764OR 64projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-31GalwayBHA641st1st0
2026-07-01FairyhouseBHA643rd3rd0
2026-06-04LeopardstownBHA6711th11th0
2026-05-09NaasBHA7413th13th0
2026-04-22Gowran Park?6th6th0
2025-11-12Dundalk?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/109/0531/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/10/20255th12/137%64%+0.27
12/11/20256th11/142%62%+0.19
22/04/20266th50/10%17%+0.17
09/05/202613th50/10%8%+0.08
04/06/202611th50/10%17%+0.17
01/07/20263rd33/10%85%+0.85
31/07/20261st10/382%100%+0.18