2

Mr Ballynonty

3yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 76

Galway · Village Salthill Handicap · 1m 73y

#7

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed plenty to work on when third at Navan on debut but well beaten on both subsequent starts, latest in first-time cheekpieces. Drop back in trip will suit for his handicap debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 16/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m2f40y Yie 13416/05C8C8 @ Fairyhouse 12/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 17 · OR - · 1m4f Goo 13212/06C8C8 @ Killarney 13/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m3f73y Gd 13413/07C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-13Killarney?5th5th0
2026-06-12Fairyhouse?8th8th0
2026-05-16Navan?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0512/0613/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength13%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/05/20263rd16/116%71%+0.56
12/06/20268th9/276%56%-0.20
13/07/20265th22/10%43%+0.43